Lobi Stars 4-3 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.1
Over 2.5
42%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
65%
+1.4pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.41/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.26
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kwara United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.02.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 2-1 HT 0-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lobi Stars
4-3
AWAY Kwara United
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars squeezed past Kwara United 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lobi Stars as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lobi Stars had 55% of the ball to Kwara United's 45%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Kwara United?

Lobi Stars 4-3 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 66%, draw 18%, Kwara United 16%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobi Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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