15/06/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Loddefjord vs Djerv Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
28%
Draw
22%
43%
Away Win
52%
41%
Under 2.5
30%
59%
Over 2.5
70%
65%
BTTS Yes
70%
35%
BTTS No
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Loddefjord v Djerv — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Loddefjord
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Djerv
EU Bookmakers 56%
-42% /
-42%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
0.59/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.62/1.43
-66%
/
-30%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
+16%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
12
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
5
390 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
402 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.5
Loddefjord vs Djerv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Loddefjord
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Djerv
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
The Meetings
23.09.2023
Djerv
5-3
HT 1-2
Loddefjord
NOR4
Loddefjord
NOR4
POST-MATCH
Loddefjord vs Djerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Djerv beat Loddefjord 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Djerv as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Loddefjord vs Djerv?
Loddefjord 0-2 Djerv in the Norway - 3rd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Loddefjord vs Djerv?
Before kick-off our model rated an Djerv win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Loddefjord 29%, draw 28%, Djerv 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djerv) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Djerv)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
15 Jun 2024