Nardo 4-1 Melhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 15 Jun 2024

Nardo
4-1 HT 2-0
Melhus
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-10.3pp
16%
Draw
15%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Melhus EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.85/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.72
+24% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nardo
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Melhus
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2022 Nardo Nardo 2-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
10.06.2022 Melhus Melhus 0-5 HT 0-2 Nardo Nardo NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nardo
4-1
AWAY Melhus
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Melhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo cruised past Melhus 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nardo as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nardo had 72% of the ball to Melhus's 28%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nardo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Nardo and 0.00 for Melhus.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Melhus?

Nardo 4-1 Melhus in the Norway - 3rd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Melhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nardo 63%, draw 16%, Melhus 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nardo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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