Tiller 2-2 Rosenborg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.31
No
37%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.4pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiller EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.01/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.06
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiller
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Rosenborg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Tiller Tiller 1-1 HT 0-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
24.07.2023 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 0-2 HT 0-0 Tiller Tiller NOR4
22.08.2022 Tiller Tiller 2-2 HT 0-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
30.05.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 3-1 HT 1-0 Tiller Tiller NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tiller
2-2
AWAY Rosenborg II
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tiller vs Rosenborg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiller and Rosenborg II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tiller at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Tiller had 53% of the ball to Rosenborg II's 47%, shots finished 20-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tiller and 1.50 for Rosenborg II.

What was the final score of Tiller vs Rosenborg II?

Tiller 2-2 Rosenborg II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiller vs Rosenborg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiller win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tiller 48%, draw 26%, Rosenborg II 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tiller) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tiller) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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