Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.18
Draw
42%
2.66
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.25
Over 2.5
30%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.65
2-3 Goals
44%
2.01
4-5 Goals
13%
9.73
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
7%
X/X
26%
2/1
16%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
42%
-11.2pp
42%
Draw
34%
+7.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
76%
-6.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
24%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.1pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.37
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CS Sfaxien
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
27.05.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 1-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
01.03.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN
25.01.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
21.12.2022 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1A
25.05.2022 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 1-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien nicked a narrow win over Etoile Du Sahel 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 0.33 for CS Sfaxien.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 CS Sfaxien in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 31%, draw 42%, CS Sfaxien 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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