Charlotte Independence 4-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.28/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.43
+20% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.3 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.80 xG 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
25.06.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
28.05.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
02.10.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
28.08.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-2 HT 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
23.06.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 7-1 HT 3-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
4-2
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
3.40 xG 1.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
25 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
452 Passes 382
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence beat Chattanooga Red Wolves 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Charlotte Independence made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 54% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 46%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 3.40 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Charlotte Independence and 2.33 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Charlotte Independence 4-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 39%, draw 29%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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