15/06/2024
·
05:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Almaden vs Marin Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Over 2.5
★★
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
22%
Draw
21%
27%
Away Win
19%
49%
Under 2.5
40%
51%
Over 2.5
60%
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
46%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almaden v Marin — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Almaden
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marin
EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-37% /
-37%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-48%
/
-17%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
18
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
419 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
282 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Almaden vs Marin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Almaden and Marin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Almaden at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Almaden vs Marin?
Almaden 2-2 Marin in the USA - USL League 2 on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almaden vs Marin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almaden win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Almaden 52%, draw 22%, Marin 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almaden) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Almaden)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
15 Jun 2024