Loudoun United 1-1 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Jun 2024

Loudoun United
1-1 HT 0-1
Las Vegas Lights
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Loudoun United vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Loudoun United v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.36/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.50
-8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
16.2 Crosses 15.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Loudoun United vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.28 xG 1.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
305 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
6 Box Touches 38
5 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-3 HT 0-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United and Las Vegas Lights couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Las Vegas Lights?

Loudoun United 1-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 37%, draw 28%, Las Vegas Lights 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Loudoun United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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