Novorizontino 3-0 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.7pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.27/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.95
+19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.5 Crosses 20.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
3-0
AWAY Cuiaba
2.24 xG 1.36
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
226 Passes 406
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino swept aside Cuiaba 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Novorizontino had 39% of the ball to Cuiaba's 61%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 2.24 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Cuiaba?

Novorizontino 3-0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 41%, draw 29%, Cuiaba 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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