Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 Olympique Khouribga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 33% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
32%
-6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Khouribga EU Bookmakers 36%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.47/2.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.00
-8% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Olympique Khouribga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2023 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga 3-0 HT 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
19.01.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 2-2 HT 1-0 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga FAS
10.10.2020 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 2-1 HT 2-0 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga FAS
01.02.2020 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga 2-2 HT 1-2 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
19.12.2015 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga 0-1 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
04.03.2015 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga FAS
POST-MATCH Moghreb Tetouan vs Olympique Khouribga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moghreb Tetouan edged past Olympique Khouribga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moghreb Tetouan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moghreb Tetouan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 1.50 for Olympique Khouribga.

What was the final score of Moghreb Tetouan vs Olympique Khouribga?

Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 Olympique Khouribga in the Morocco - Cup on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moghreb Tetouan vs Olympique Khouribga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moghreb Tetouan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Moghreb Tetouan 43%, draw 31%, Olympique Khouribga 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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