Al Shorta 4-0 Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft EU Bookmakers 15%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.00
-1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +59%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shorta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.12.2023 Al Shorta Al Shorta 0-1 HT 0-0 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta ran out comfortable winners over Naft 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Naft?

Al Shorta 4-0 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 58%, draw 27%, Naft 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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