Polonya U19 (K) 1-1 İtalya U19 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19 Women's, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya U19 (K)
1-1
AWAY İtalya U19 (K)
0.84 xG 1.58
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 8
136 Passes 366
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonya U19 (K) vs İtalya U19 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya U19 (K) and İtalya U19 (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Polonya U19 (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Polonya U19 (K) had 33% of the ball to İtalya U19 (K)'s 67%, shots finished 5-25, expected goals 0.84 to 1.58.

What was the final score of Polonya U19 (K) vs İtalya U19 (K)?

Polonya U19 (K) 1-1 İtalya U19 (K) in the European U19 Women's on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya U19 (K) vs İtalya U19 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya U19 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Polonya U19 (K) 41%, draw 27%, İtalya U19 (K) 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonya U19 (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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