U. Catolica 5-1 Universidad Concepcion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 15 Jun 2026

U. Catolica
5-1 HT 2-1
Universidad Concepcion
📅15/06/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Chile - Premier League – 2026

U. Catolica vs Universidad Concepcion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
+0.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

U. Catolica v Universidad Concepcion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
1.76/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.45
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.3 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

U. Catolica vs Universidad Concepcion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.46 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
391 Passes 272
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.02.2021 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-2 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
11.10.2020 U. Catolica 1-1 HT 0-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
04.08.2019 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 0-3 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
28.04.2019 U. Catolica 3-1 HT 1-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
21.10.2018 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
21.05.2018 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL

U. Catolica 5-1 Universidad Concepcion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
5-1
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
3.00 xG 1.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Universidad Concepcion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica swept aside Universidad Concepcion 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 55% of the ball to Universidad Concepcion's 45%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.00 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for U. Catolica and 0.50 for Universidad Concepcion.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Universidad Concepcion?

U. Catolica 5-1 Universidad Concepcion in the Chile - Premier League on 15/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Universidad Concepcion?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 65%, draw 20%, Universidad Concepcion 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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