Halmstad 1-2 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 Jul 2024

Halmstad
1-2 HT 0-1
AIK
📅15/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Halmstad vs AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
38%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.54
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
14%
7.69
X/2
15%
4.3
X/X
11%
5.36
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.5
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-11.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Halmstad v AIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 54%
+13% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.19/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.41
+21% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
14.5 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Halmstad vs AIK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AIK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
276 Passes 462
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
02.04.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 2-1 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
01.11.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 1-0 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
02.08.2021 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
04.03.2018 AIK AIK 3-1 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
17.09.2017 AIK AIK 4-1 HT 4-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ

Halmstad 1-2 AIK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
1-2
AWAY AIK
0.60 xG 1.98
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
289 Passes 554
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK nicked a narrow win over Halmstad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; AIK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Halmstad had 37% of the ball to AIK's 63%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.60 to 1.98 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AIK's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Halmstad and 1.67 for AIK.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs AIK?

Halmstad 1-2 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 35%, draw 27%, AIK 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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