Arjantin 1-0 Kolombiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa America, 15 Jul 2024

Arjantin
1-0 HT 0-0
Kolombiya
📅15/07/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Copa America – 2024

Arjantin vs Kolombiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.37
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.99
1/2
4%
58.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.27
X/2
7%
7.42
X/X
15%
3.27
2/1
4%
36.0
2/2
14%
6.56
2/X
12%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arjantin v Kolombiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 27%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.12/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.64
+0% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
12.5 Crosses 12.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Arjantin vs Kolombiya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kolombiya
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.02.2022 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
07.07.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 1-1 HT 1-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
09.06.2021 Kolombiya Kolombiya 2-2 HT 0-2 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
16.06.2019 Arjantin Arjantin 0-2 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
12.09.2018 Kolombiya Kolombiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Arjantin Arjantin HAZ
16.11.2016 Arjantin Arjantin 3-0 HT 2-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE

Arjantin 1-0 Kolombiya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin
1-0
AWAY Kolombiya
1.04 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
391 Passes 515
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arjantin vs Kolombiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin squeezed past Kolombiya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Arjantin had 44% of the ball to Kolombiya's 56%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.04 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arjantin and 0.83 for Kolombiya.

What was the final score of Arjantin vs Kolombiya?

Arjantin 1-0 Kolombiya in the Copa America on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin vs Kolombiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arjantin 42%, draw 33%, Kolombiya 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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