Chapecoense 1-1 Brusque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 Jul 2024

Chapecoense
1-1 HT 0-1
Brusque
📅15/07/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Chapecoense vs Brusque Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.95
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chapecoense v Brusque — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brusque EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.19/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.49
-26% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
23.9 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Chapecoense vs Brusque Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Brusque
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.77 xG 0.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.03.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BRCAT1
20.08.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
06.05.2022 Brusque Brusque 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
06.02.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-3 HT 1-0 Brusque Brusque BRCAT1
01.04.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BRCAT1
13.09.2020 Brusque Brusque 0-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BRCAT1

Chapecoense 1-1 Brusque — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
1-1
AWAY Brusque
1.38 xG 0.38
66% Ball Possession 34%
28 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
383 Passes 154
82% Pass Accuracy 63%
23 Box Touches 4
39 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Brusque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense and Brusque couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chapecoense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Chapecoense had 66% of the ball to Brusque's 34%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 1.38 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chapecoense and 0.50 for Brusque.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Brusque?

Chapecoense 1-1 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Brusque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 43%, draw 29%, Brusque 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chapecoense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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