Forge 2-1 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 15 Jul 2024

Forge
2-1 HT 0-1
Pacific FC
📅15/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Forge vs Pacific FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forge v Pacific FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.08/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.89
-15% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
13.9 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Forge vs Pacific FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.91 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
413 Passes 374
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
24.09.2023 Forge Forge 3-1 HT 2-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
22.07.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Forge Forge KAPL
11.06.2023 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
01.05.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
06.10.2022 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL

Forge 2-1 Pacific FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
2-1
AWAY Pacific FC
1.56 xG 1.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
526 Passes 291
92% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forge vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge squeezed past Pacific FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Forge had 62% of the ball to Pacific FC's 38%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.56 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forge and 0.50 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Forge vs Pacific FC?

Forge 2-1 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Forge 45%, draw 26%, Pacific FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5
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