Hollanda U19 (K) 1-1 Almanya U19 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19 Women's, 15 Jul 2024

📅15/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
25%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.5pp
25%
Away Win
34%
-9.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.06/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.93
+42% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
13.0 Crosses 19.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda U19 (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Almanya U19 (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
264 Passes 235
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
35 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.07.2023 Hollanda U19 (K) Hollanda U19 (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Almanya U19 (K) Almanya U19 (K) U19K
25.07.2019 Almanya U19 (K) Almanya U19 (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Hollanda U19 (K) Hollanda U19 (K) U19K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda U19 (K)
1-1
AWAY Almanya U19 (K)
0.67 xG 1.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
414 Passes 169
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Hollanda U19 (K) vs Almanya U19 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda U19 (K) and Almanya U19 (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hollanda U19 (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hollanda U19 (K) had 65% of the ball to Almanya U19 (K)'s 35%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.67 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hollanda U19 (K) and 2.00 for Almanya U19 (K).

What was the final score of Hollanda U19 (K) vs Almanya U19 (K)?

Hollanda U19 (K) 1-1 Almanya U19 (K) in the European U19 Women's on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda U19 (K) vs Almanya U19 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda U19 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hollanda U19 (K) 43%, draw 32%, Almanya U19 (K) 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hollanda U19 (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda U19 (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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