İtalya U19 2-1 Norveç U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 15 Jul 2024

📅15/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U19 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Norveç U19 EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.15/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.02
+98% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +72%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
Crosses 16.7
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Norveç U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
237 Passes 280
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
6 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2018 İtalya U19 İtalya U19 1-1 HT 0-0 Norveç U19 Norveç U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U19
2-1
AWAY Norveç U19
0.99 xG 0.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
356 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya U19 vs Norveç U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U19 nicked a narrow win over Norveç U19 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had İtalya U19 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, İtalya U19 had 54% of the ball to Norveç U19's 46%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.99 to 0.65.

What was the final score of İtalya U19 vs Norveç U19?

İtalya U19 2-1 Norveç U19 in the European U19 on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U19 vs Norveç U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split İtalya U19 51%, draw 22%, Norveç U19 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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