Nacional Potosi 2-3 Real Oruro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.2pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.5pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oruro EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.05/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.45
+15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 72%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.7 Crosses 11.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
2-3
AWAY Real Oruro
1.22 xG 2.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
188 Passes 178
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oruro squeezed past Nacional Potosi 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nacional Potosi at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 51% of the ball to Real Oruro's 49%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 1.22 to 2.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Oruro's control.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro?

Nacional Potosi 2-3 Real Oruro in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 57%, draw 26%, Real Oruro 17%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional Potosi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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