Juventude 2-0 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
5.26
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.2
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
18%
5.62
X/2
11%
5.56
X/X
15%
3.71
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.14
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.2pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.27/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.85
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +80%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.2 Crosses 20.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sport Recife
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.87 xG 1.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
341 Passes 313
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2023 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 1-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
07.10.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-1 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
21.06.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
02.12.2007 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
12.08.2007 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
2-0
AWAY Sport Recife
0.25 xG 1.31
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
273 Passes 498
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Sport Recife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude beat Sport Recife 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Juventude made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Juventude had 38% of the ball to Sport Recife's 62%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.25 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sport Recife.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Juventude and 1.80 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Sport Recife?

Juventude 2-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juventude 40%, draw 29%, Sport Recife 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventude), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventude) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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