Athletic Club 4-0 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 Jul 2025

Athletic Club
4-0 HT 2-0
Avai
📅15/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Athletic Club vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.87
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Club v Avai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 30%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.85/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.13
+8% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.0 Crosses 14.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Athletic Club 4-0 Avai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
4-0
AWAY Avai
1.13 xG 0.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 7
439 Passes 349
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club cruised past Avai 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Club as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Club had 54% of the ball to Avai's 46%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.13 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Avai?

Athletic Club 4-0 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 42%, draw 30%, Avai 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Club), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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