Sydney 2-1 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
55%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.4pp
55%
Away Win
68%
-12.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 71%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.03
-100% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
226 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
2-1
AWAY Wrexham
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney squeezed past Wrexham 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wrexham at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Sydney had 38% of the ball to Wrexham's 62%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Wrexham?

Sydney 2-1 Wrexham in the Friendlies on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sydney 17%, draw 27%, Wrexham 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wrexham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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