Universitatea Craiova 1-0 ML Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 15 Jul 2026

📅15/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.0pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Rogachev EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ML Rogachev
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2026 ML Rogachev ML Rogachev 1-4 HT 1-3 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-0
AWAY ML Rogachev
24 Total Shots 14
12 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs ML Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova nicked a narrow win over ML Rogachev 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 24-14.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs ML Rogachev?

Universitatea Craiova 1-0 ML Rogachev in the Champions League on 15/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs ML Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 67%, draw 20%, ML Rogachev 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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