Marlin Coast 0-4 Moreland Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - FFA Cup, 15 Jul 2026

📅15/07/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
12%
5.28
Away Pick
68%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
20%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
29%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Moreland Zebras win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.6pp
12%
Draw
16%
-3.7pp
68%
Away Win
74%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marlin Coast The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland Zebras The Market 79%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marlin Coast
0-4
AWAY Moreland Zebras
0.37 xG 1.66
6 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 7
142 Passes 575
12 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marlin Coast vs Moreland Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreland Zebras swept aside Marlin Coast 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moreland Zebras as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 6-25, expected goals 0.37 to 1.66.

What was the final score of Marlin Coast vs Moreland Zebras?

Marlin Coast 0-4 Moreland Zebras in the Australia - FFA Cup on 15/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marlin Coast vs Moreland Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreland Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Marlin Coast 20%, draw 12%, Moreland Zebras 68%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreland Zebras), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreland Zebras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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