İngiltere 1-2 Arjantin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 15 Jul 2026

İngiltere
1-2 HT 0-0
Arjantin
📅15/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
World Cup – 2026 Kanada/Meksika/ABD

İngiltere vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.47
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
9%
5.56
X/2
12%
6.18
X/X
18%
3.63
2/1
4%
33.5
2/2
14%
4.47
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İngiltere v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin EU Bookmakers 34%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.18/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.10
-36% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -59%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 83%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.9 Crosses 22.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 5.0

İngiltere vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arjantin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
12.11.2005 Arjantin Arjantin 2-3 HT 1-1 İngiltere İngiltere HAZ

İngiltere 1-2 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere
1-2
AWAY Arjantin
0.53 xG 1.59
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
273 Passes 537
7 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İngiltere vs Arjantin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin squeezed past İngiltere 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Arjantin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.53 to 1.59.

What was the final score of İngiltere vs Arjantin?

İngiltere 1-2 Arjantin in the World Cup on 15/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere vs Arjantin?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split İngiltere 34%, draw 31%, Arjantin 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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