Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 Altay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 15 Jul 2026

📅15/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
30%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Ordabasy Shymkent win — 73%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
67%
+6.1pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.4pp
11%
Away Win
12%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Altay EU Bookmakers 15%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.05/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-37% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +84%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Altay
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.05.2026 Altay Altay 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Altay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent saw off Altay 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Altay?

Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 Altay in the Kazakistan - Cup on 15/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Altay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 73%, draw 17%, Altay 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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