Granada 1-2 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.67
Over
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.7
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
24%
4.33
6+
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
23%
4.27
X/2
8%
7.13
X/X
10%
4.21
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
8%
5.72
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Granada win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 29%
+22% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -19%
1.33/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.48
+31% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.4 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Albacete
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.80 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
338 Passes 198
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 0-1 Granada Granada İS2
18.11.2022 Granada Granada 4-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.05.2019 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
04.01.2019 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
14.01.2018 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
20.08.2017 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
1-2
AWAY Albacete
1.73 xG 1.61
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
394 Passes 178
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 14
44 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Granada vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete nicked a narrow win over Granada 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Granada at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Granada had 66% of the ball to Albacete's 34%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.73 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Granada and 0.67 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Granada vs Albacete?

Granada 1-2 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Granada 52%, draw 26%, Albacete 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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