Cukaricki Stankom 1-4 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-13.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 71%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.36/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.64
-71% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.6
13.8 Crosses 25.3
4.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.73 xG 2.52
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
230 Passes 433
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
24.02.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
16.09.2023 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
25.05.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 0-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRBK
18.02.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
10.11.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-2 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
1-4
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.76 xG 1.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
273 Passes 444
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız swept aside Cukaricki Stankom 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 40% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 60%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.76 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cukaricki Stankom and 2.50 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs Kızılyıldız?

Cukaricki Stankom 1-4 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 23%, draw 24%, Kızılyıldız 54%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ BTTS No
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