Al Nahda 1-0 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Profesyonel League, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nahda EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 20%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.08/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.29
+40% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nahda
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
08.04.2024 Al Nahda Al Nahda 2-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr UMM
23.09.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMM
05.04.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMM
21.10.2022 Al Nahda Al Nahda 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr UMM
17.04.2022 Al Nahda Al Nahda 1-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr UMM
26.12.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMM
POST-MATCH Al Nahda vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nahda squeezed past Al Nasr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nahda as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nahda had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Nahda and 0.83 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Nahda vs Al Nasr?

Al Nahda 1-0 Al Nasr in the Oman - Profesyonel League on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nahda vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nahda win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Nahda 56%, draw 27%, Al Nasr 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nahda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nahda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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