Gine 1-1 Cezayir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Championship, 15 Aug 2025

Gine
1-1 HT 0-0
Cezayir
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.33
6+ Goals
7%
23.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gine EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Cezayir EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gine
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Cezayir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.54 xG 1.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
318 Passes 217
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.06.2024 Cezayir Cezayir 1-2 HT 0-0 Gine Gine DKE
23.09.2022 Cezayir Cezayir 1-0 HT 0-0 Gine Gine HAZ
07.07.2019 Cezayir Cezayir 3-0 HT 1-0 Gine Gine AFUK
07.06.2017 Cezayir Cezayir 2-1 HT 1-0 Gine Gine HAZ
09.10.2015 Cezayir Cezayir 1-2 HT 1-2 Gine Gine HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gine
1-1
AWAY Cezayir
0.24 xG 1.19
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
265 Passes 427
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 42
6 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gine vs Cezayir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gine and Cezayir couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cezayir at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gine had 41% of the ball to Cezayir's 59%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 0.24 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cezayir led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gine and 1.60 for Cezayir.

What was the final score of Gine vs Cezayir?

Gine 1-1 Cezayir in the Afrika Uluslar Championship on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gine vs Cezayir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gine 24%, draw 23%, Cezayir 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cezayir), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cezayir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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