Xelaju MC 4-1 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.0pp
37%
Draw
28%
+9.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 26%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.60
+90% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
4-1
AWAY Real Esteli
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC cruised past Real Esteli 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 37% / 23% — and on the day Xelaju MC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 53% of the ball to Real Esteli's 47%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Real Esteli?

Xelaju MC 4-1 Real Esteli in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 40%, draw 37%, Real Esteli 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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