Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.53
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.28
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.96
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.8
X/1
21%
3.54
X/2
6%
12.15
X/X
8%
4.22
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
10%
12.0
2/X
7%
21.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.6pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 17%
-78% / -78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.61/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.79
-100% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
28.0 Crosses 12.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
420 Passes 279
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2017 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 4-1 HT 3-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz LKU
09.03.2017 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
2-1
AWAY Godoy Cruz
0.73 xG 0.29
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
377 Passes 165
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
11 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro nicked a narrow win over Godoy Cruz 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 65% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 35%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.73 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.00 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Godoy Cruz?

Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Godoy Cruz in the Copa Sudamericana on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 59%, draw 21%, Godoy Cruz 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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