Malut United 3-3 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 15 Aug 2025

Malut United
3-3 HT 2-1
Bali United
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2025/2026

Malut United vs Bali United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
37%
3.45
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.2pp
37%
Draw
26%
+11.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malut United v Bali United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malut United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United EU Bookmakers 28%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.66/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.58
+15% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Malut United vs Bali United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malut United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bali United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
17.02.2025 Bali United Bali United 1-1 HT 0-1 Malut United Malut United ENDL1
21.09.2024 Malut United Malut United 1-4 HT 1-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Malut United vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malut United and Bali United couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 37% / 24%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bali United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malut United and 2.50 for Bali United.

What was the final score of Malut United vs Bali United?

Malut United 3-3 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malut United vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malut United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Malut United 40%, draw 37%, Bali United 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malut United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malut United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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