Vukovar 1-1 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.62
Over 2.5
53%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.69
4-5 Goals
22%
4.2
6+ Goals
7%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
28%
+14.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
58%
-10.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
42%
+10.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
Crosses 17.9
Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
1-1
AWAY Istra 1961
1.41 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
343 Passes 355
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar and Istra 1961 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Vukovar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Vukovar had 47% of the ball to Istra 1961's 53%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.41 to 1.41.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Istra 1961?

Vukovar 1-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 43%, draw 24%, Istra 1961 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vukovar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →