Aserri 4-2 Guadalupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aserri EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalupe EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aserri
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Guadalupe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.08.2023 Aserri 1-0 HT 0-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSB
POST-MATCH Aserri vs Guadalupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aserri beat Guadalupe 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Aserri made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Aserri vs Guadalupe?

Aserri 4-2 Guadalupe in the Costa Rica - Cup on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aserri vs Guadalupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aserri win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aserri 37%, draw 26%, Guadalupe 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5
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