Serik Spor 1-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 15 Aug 2025

Serik Spor
1-0 HT 1-0
Ümraniyespor
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Serik Spor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
22.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.23
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
11%
4.81
X/2
15%
6.25
X/X
12%
4.08
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.82
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Serik Spor v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
– Crosses 15.7
– Yellow Cards 2.6

Serik Spor 1-0 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Serik Spor
1-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.13 xG 1.05
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
148 Passes 427
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 11
8 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Serik Spor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Spor edged past Ümraniyespor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Serik Spor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Serik Spor had 30% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 70%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.13 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Serik Spor vs Ümraniyespor?

Serik Spor 1-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Spor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Serik Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Serik Spor 38%, draw 28%, Ümraniyespor 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Serik Spor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Serik Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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