Braintree Town 3-2 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Aug 2026

Braintree Town
3-2 HT 2-1
Chesham United
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2026/2027

Braintree Town vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.72
No Pick
51%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
28%
3.13
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.43
6+
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.7pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braintree Town v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United The Market 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.04/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.61
-23% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +103%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Braintree Town vs Chesham United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chesham United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.10.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 3-1 HT 0-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town FAK
14.10.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United FAK
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town squeezed past Chesham United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chesham United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chesham United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Braintree Town and 1.50 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs Chesham United?

Braintree Town 3-2 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 34%, draw 22%, Chesham United 44%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ BTTS No
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