Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Aug 2026

Excelsior Virton
vs
Lierse Kempenzonen
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Belgium - 1st Division – 2026/2027

Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Excelsior Virton v Lierse Kempenzonen — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Virton
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 350
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.11.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 HT 1-0 Excelsior Virton Excelsior Virton BEL2
15.10.2022 Excelsior Virton Excelsior Virton 0-0 HT 0-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
17.04.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Virton Excelsior Virton BEL2
12.12.2021 Excelsior Virton Excelsior Virton 2-2 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
16.10.2021 Excelsior Virton Excelsior Virton 2-1 HT 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
22.08.2021 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Virton Excelsior Virton BEL2
COMMENT Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of Lierse Kempenzonen's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Excelsior Virton and 1.33 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

When do Excelsior Virton and Lierse Kempenzonen play?

Excelsior Virton play Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/08/2026, kick-off 21:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Our model's prediction for Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen is a Excelsior Virton win at about 44% probability, priced 2.12 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Excelsior Virton 44%, draw 25%, Lierse Kempenzonen 31%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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