15/08/2026
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Radnik Surdulica win — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
52%
23%
Draw
27%
15%
Away Win
21%
54%
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 2.5
46%
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
55%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Radnik Surdulica v Macva Sabac — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Radnik Surdulica
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Macva Sabac
EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-27% /
-27%
1.48/0.81
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.82/1.34
-6%
/
+24%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-74%
/
+8%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
321 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
266 · 74%
24.3
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
21.3
Crosses
14.3
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.8
Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Radnik Surdulica
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Macva Sabac
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
2.06
xG
1.21
55%
Ball Possession
45%
17
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
358
Passes
277
81%
Pass Accuracy
78%
22
Crosses
19
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
20.11.2020
Radnik Surdulica
3-0
HT 2-0
Macva Sabac
SIRP
3-0
HT 2-0
Macva Sabac
SIRP
Radnik Surdulica 2-1 Macva Sabac — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Radnik Surdulica
2-1
AWAY
Macva Sabac
0.98
xG
0.83
17
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
0
264
Passes
249
27
Box Touches
9
25
Crosses
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Radnik Surdulica nicked a narrow win over Macva Sabac 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Radnik Surdulica as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.98 to 0.83.
What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac?
Radnik Surdulica 2-1 Macva Sabac in the Serbia - Super League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac?
Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 62%, draw 23%, Macva Sabac 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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SIRP
More Serbia - Super League
15 Aug 2026