Karpaty Lviv 3-0 Bukovyna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.75
Over
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
47%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bukovyna EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bukovyna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
08.10.2023 Bukovyna Bukovyna 0-1 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR2
06.08.2023 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 2-1 HT 1-1 Bukovyna Bukovyna UKR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
3-0
AWAY Bukovyna
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv swept aside Bukovyna 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karpaty Lviv as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 17-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karpaty Lviv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 0.50 for Bukovyna.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna?

Karpaty Lviv 3-0 Bukovyna in the Ukraine - Premier League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 47%, draw 26%, Bukovyna 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karpaty Lviv), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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