Portsmouth 0-3 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.82
Over
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.23
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.64
6+
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.23 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.12
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
7%
8.03
X/2
13%
4.27
X/X
11%
4.65
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.52
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich The Market 53%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
0.65/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.13
-48% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.5 Crosses 19.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
2W-2D-2L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
11.04.2009 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-2 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
07.12.2008 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
05.04.2008 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
17.12.2005 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
20.08.2005 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-1 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
15.05.2005 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
0-3
AWAY West Bromwich
0.70 xG 2.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
315 Passes 277
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich cruised past Portsmouth 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portsmouth had 54% of the ball to West Bromwich's 46%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.70 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portsmouth and 1.17 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs West Bromwich?

Portsmouth 0-3 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 28%, draw 29%, West Bromwich 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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