Chelsea U21 6-3 Brentford U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.27
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
27%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
4.0
Over 2.5
73%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
42%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
75%
-18.5pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
11%
+16.1pp
27%
Under 2.5
22%
+5.6pp
73%
Over 2.5
78%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+65% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
463 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
37.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
6-3
AWAY Brentford U21
58% Ball Possession 42%
33 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
411 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Brentford U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 cruised past Brentford U21 6-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 58% of the ball to Brentford U21's 42%, shots finished 33-13.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Brentford U21?

Chelsea U21 6-3 Brentford U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Brentford U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 57%, draw 16%, Brentford U21 27%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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