Aarau vs Luzern Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Luzern — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Luzern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Luzern
İSVK
3-0
HT 2-0
Aarau
HAZ
5-0
HT 2-0
Aarau
HAZ
3-4
HT 1-1
Luzern
İSVK
2-6
HT 0-2
Luzern
İSV
4-0
HT 1-0
Aarau
İSV
Aarau 1-0 Luzern — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau nicked a narrow win over Luzern 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Luzern at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.
On the day, Aarau had 39% of the ball to Luzern's 61%, shots finished 6-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aarau and 4.00 for Luzern.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Luzern?
Aarau 1-0 Luzern in the Switzerland - Cup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Luzern?
Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aarau 21%, draw 19%, Luzern 59%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5 went the other way.