Napoli (K) 1-4 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.33/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.61/1.55
+13% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -49%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
13.0 Crosses 25.0
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.55 xG 2.61
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
161 Passes 392
62% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 25
27.01.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-3 HT 1-0 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
21.10.2023 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
1-4
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
0.31 xG 2.05
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
126 Passes 477
54% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) cruised past Napoli (K) 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Milano (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 28% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 72%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.31 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Inter Milano (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napoli (K) and 2.50 for Inter Milano (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Napoli (K) 1-4 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 17%, draw 23%, Inter Milano (K) 59%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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