Atletico Madrid (K) 2-1 Deportivo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.18
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.53
No
50%
1.46
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
80%
-46.3pp
33%
Draw
14%
+19.2pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.5pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-41% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
2-1
AWAY Deportivo (K)
3.47 xG 0.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
475 Passes 253
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Deportivo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Deportivo (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 62% of the ball to Deportivo (K)'s 38%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 3.47 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Madrid (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Deportivo (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 2-1 Deportivo (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Deportivo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Deportivo (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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