Eibar (K) 2-0 Valencia (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
48%
-15.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.46/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/2.44
+23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.0 Crosses 8.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Valencia (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.45 xG 1.30
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
180 Passes 373
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 0
21.01.2024 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar (K)
2-0
AWAY Valencia (K)
0.70 xG 0.18
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
165 Passes 425
59% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eibar (K) vs Valencia (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar (K) beat Valencia (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Eibar (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eibar (K) had 34% of the ball to Valencia (K)'s 66%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 0.70 to 0.18.

What was the final score of Eibar (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Eibar (K) 2-0 Valencia (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Eibar (K) 33%, draw 33%, Valencia (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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