Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 Espanyol (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.32
Draw
33%
4.62
Away
33%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
71%
-37.6pp
33%
Draw
18%
+15.1pp
33%
Away Win
11%
+22.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.4 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
2-1
AWAY Espanyol (K)
2.46 xG 1.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
206 Passes 188
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Espanyol (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) edged past Espanyol (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Madrid CFF (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 52% of the ball to Espanyol (K)'s 48%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.46 to 1.46.

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Espanyol (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 Espanyol (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Espanyol (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Espanyol (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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