Grazer AK 1-1 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.35
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.09
X/2
15%
5.98
X/X
14%
4.54
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.19
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.00/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
+36% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
29.0 Crosses 18.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
07.04.2007 Grazer AK Grazer AK 4-1 HT 2-1 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
23.09.2006 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 4-1 HT 2-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-1
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.12 xG 0.57
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 229
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and Rheindorf Altach shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grazer AK had 58% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 42%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.12 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Grazer AK and 2.50 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Rheindorf Altach?

Grazer AK 1-1 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 39%, draw 27%, Rheindorf Altach 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grazer AK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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