Esbjerg 4-3 B93 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

Esbjerg
4-3 HT 2-0
B93 Kopenhag
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Esbjerg vs B93 Kopenhag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.51
Over 2.5
46%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
5.41
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
6.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.41 — our 31% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
17%
4.33
X/2
11%
10.5
X/X
15%
6.11
2/1
9%
20.35
2/2
12%
6.99
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
36%
+17.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
64%
-17.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-15.4pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v B93 Kopenhag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY B93 Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.21
-33% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +64%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.6 Crosses 11.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Esbjerg 4-3 B93 Kopenhag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
4-3
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
3.09 xG 1.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
307 Passes 495
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 32
25 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs B93 Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg nicked a narrow win over B93 Kopenhag 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Esbjerg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Esbjerg had 39% of the ball to B93 Kopenhag's 61%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 3.09 to 1.93.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs B93 Kopenhag?

Esbjerg 4-3 B93 Kopenhag in the Denmark 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs B93 Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 46%, draw 25%, B93 Kopenhag 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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